Notes from our Industrial Research

Notes from our Industrial Research

Notes from our Industrial Research

Industrial Building Rents

Rents are declining from pandemic highs. The rent range for greater Los Angeles (including property taxes) is $1.00 per foot for older spaces to over $2.50 per foot for newer bulk space. More space is available in almost all size categories. Smaller spaces are rare due to the higher cost to build. One note for the South Bay. Rents are lower in The Gardena/County Strip area because of RV encampments, concerns of employee safety, and local government failure. Rents are highest in the LAX, Beach Cities, and LAX where there is high-tech manufacturing, defense and airfreight.

Property Taxes

Property Taxes have a big impact on rents. At one time, property taxes were only a few cents per square foot (psf) but with a rise in property values, it’s common to see up to $.50 psf once properties are reassessed. It can be 25% or 30% of your total rent. Due to Proposition 13, when a property is sold, taxes are re-assessed at the new value and that increase is normally passed through to tenants. Looking at the chart below, lowest taxpayers are almost always longtime property owners, families or partners.
High taxes are more common because of the long investment boom since 2010.

Power

Tenants seeking heavy power, 2000 AMPs or greater, will face delays of twelve (12) months or greater because electrical switchgear and transformers are on back order. Many tenants are seeking EV chargers which increases load. In some parts of town, vandals strip vacant buildings of electrical breakers and copper wiring making the buildings inoperable. The graph below shows there is an ample supply of buildings with sufficient power. Many buildings with the most power will lack the most modern features since they date back from L.A.’s manufacturing past. Developers are installing large panels in their new buildings.

Industrial Sale Market

The 20-year Treasury is at 4.9% and mortgage loans are over 8%. These relatively high rates have put considerable restraint on an investor led boom throughout industrial Los Angeles. With many investors sidelined, owner/users have the opportunity they were waiting for to buy. Even at current mortgage rates, the loan payment approximates the amount you would pay for rent. Loans are prioritized for long term credit tenants and not risky investment deals. You will find the large acquisition funds willing to sell off their less desirable assets.

20 Year Treasury rates
20 Year Treasury rates

Jim Klein, SIOR a 40-year background of industrial real estate brokerage and investment in the Los Angeles area. Our specialty is representing corporations and local landlords. While we practice in Los Angeles, we have moved many customers out of state with help from our SIOR colleagues throughout North America. Klein Commercial recently added new sales staff, IT and analytics to our brokerage service. Please consider us for your next industrial real estate deal.

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Summer 2023- New Industrial Building Analytics

Summer 2023- New Industrial Building Analytics

This summer we are expanding our research and analytics to help you find the right deal. In Los Angeles or anywhere else in North America. We are growing by hiring two new salespeople, an IT manager, and a data scientist. Please contact us for a consultation about your next industrial real estate deal.

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Higher interest rates created a lull in the market but with forecasts showing interest rate declines starting in 2024, investors are looking for opportunities. There’s plenty of liquidity at the right price. Owners and tenants alike are vulnerable to current higher interest rates if they need to finance. This has caused some property owners to look at their real estate to raise cash. It’s a favorable time to sell if there is income in place through a sale leaseback or other long term leases.


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Sophisticated industrial building investors own almost half the buildings in Los Angeles County greater than 25,000 square feet and they are continuing to buy more at today’s adjusted pricing.


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Through research, we can identify those properties that are held by sophisticated investors compared to property owners that have less experience. Once mapped, we can precisely see where investors prefer to be located and which buildings they would like to purchase.


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For tenants in the market, we use similar data to help you find the best buildings. We focus on total occupancy cost and building utility. Warehouse economics includes measurement of total cost per square foot (including property taxes), docks per 10,000 SF, and cost per cubic foot. By comparing cost and utility, we can often identify the “best deal”. We also use subjective measurements that include landlord sophistication and property basis. Variables are shown on the report below we recently did for a Gardena tenant. We will be depicting the results on a scatterplot for easier reference.

Spreadsheet Example with Property Information - New
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Incidentally, this map shows how few buildings (over 10,000 SF) are available for lease in Gardena. It’s a tight market with few vacancies (shown in blue).


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Thank you for subscribing and please contact us with any of your industrial building inquiries. You can use the QR code below to redeem for superior industrial real estate knowledge and service.

Thank you,

Jim Klein, SIOR
310-451-8121
jimklein@kleincom.com

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Sale Leasebacks Are In Demand

Sale Leasebacks Are In Demand

Sales Leaseback – In Demand

Depending on the market cycle, there are different courses of hot money looking for deals. In times of distress, there are opportunity buyers. When interest rates were low (and negative), funding was rampant. Even now, select investors are fundraising with new rounds. 1031 buyers are another category of buyers with immediate funds.

Currently, Sale leasebacks are hot for both buyers and sellers. Buyers will pay more for buildings with 10  or 15 year leases in place. Corporates and owner-occupiers, most facing higher business interest rates, can look to their owned real estate to raise lower cost financing in a Sale leaseback transaction

There are generally three different types of sale leasebacks:

The first is an Absolute NNN lease with no landlord responsibility including casualty and condemnation. The tenant keeps paying rent no matter what. It has elements of a corporate bond in its reliance on the tenant’s credit.  A Credit Tenant Lease (“CTL “) is for critical manufacturing, distribution, or infrastructure for a long term lease with a rated tenant.

The second form of Sale Leaseback is used to raise cash for lower rate financing or for other financial engineering reasons. Owner users and corporates can unlock years of “unrealized” equity. There are often balance sheet advantages. Sale Leasebacks are routine with private-equity owned businesses. Pricing is closely related to the tenant’s credit rating.

The third type of Sale Leaseback is in name only. Because either the lease term is short or tenant credit is weak, these deals are more fully underwritten on the real estate. Tenant term and credit is less a factor than building quality and market acceptance.

LA Industrial - Cost per warehouse cubic ft
LA Industrial – Cost per warehouse cubic ft

When interest rates were low, long-term leases held down the value because of rapid rent increases they were forgoing. In a reversal and because of tighter bank lending standards, long-term credit leases are now valued more than empty buildings.

Sale leasebacks are a common tool in the CEO playbook. We are equally qualified to handle conventional industrial building sales, leases, and investments. Klein Commercial, with a 40-year history of industrial real estate, is growing. We recently hired two new sales agents, an IT manager, and a data scientist to improve and expand our business. We can help with any industrial property assignment in Los Angeles and elsewhere in the United States.

To make your job easier, please redeem this QR Code for superior industrial real estate knowledge and service.

 

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How Is Industrial Real Estate Today?

How Is Industrial Real Estate Today?

Map showing electrical symbol for buildings with increasing size based on building
Power Map of Buildings In LA County

Industrial real estate is a diverse business that includes Investment funds, developers, private/family owners, corporations, occupiers, and a mix of product types and industries. Industrial buildings are in every community and are the source of employment, production, distribution, and wealth for many. The nation’s economic health rides on the success of industrial real estate.

There are several factors that are driving deals today. Broadly, these include Interest Rate Policy, US Industrial Strategy, and Local Municipal Governance. Everyone is affected differently. For example, higher interest rates are never good for real estate, though they affect sales more than leases; sale transactions are interest rate sensitive while leasing is supply and demand based. As an experienced broker, we use detailed knowledge, market analytics, and long-standing relationships to help you in making the best decision.
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New Gardena Industrial Commentary

New Gardena Industrial Commentary


The geography of Gardena needs explanation. There is the City of Gardena proper and three times larger than the city boundary, is the Gardena Postal Zone. The larger Gardena area includes parts of Unincorporated Los Angeles County (West Rancho Dominguez), City of Los Angeles Strip, and the northwestern part of Carson. The zip code 90061 is also included in most market studies of Gardena because it squares off the uniform industrial portion of West Rancho on the north side. When someone asks me how the real estate business is in Gardena, it depends where you are located. Each municipality has its own zoning regulations and homeless policies which have a direct relationship to the individual parcel value.
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New Industrial Down Zone for West Rancho

New Industrial Down Zone for West Rancho

 

(This article has been updated with relevant links below)

Industrial property owners in the West Rancho Dominguez Planning District of Los Angeles County are facing another downzone in the Metro Area Plan. The M1 (Light Manufacturing) is being replaced by a new, more restrictive category, M.0.5 (Artistic Production and Custom Manufacturing). This zoning limitation will reduce the pool of economically feasible tenants and lower the rents property owners can charge. While most citizens of Los Angeles don’t cry over the landlord’s income, the unintended consequence will be plant relocations and job losses.
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Three Innovations for 2023

Three Innovations for 2023

ChatGPT:

I could not start the year without acknowledging the tools that are currently available at Open AI. I’ve recently created a new FAQ page with the use of ChatGPT and Dall-E 2. It must have been under the wire before Google Search created new defenses against text bots. I received one solid lead from a company looking for 30,000 square feet because of the AI-generated explanation of my services.
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Leasing Industrial Property in Los Angeles County Under the New Green Zone Ordinance

Leasing Industrial Property in Los Angeles County Under the New Green Zone Ordinance

Leasing Industrial Property in Los Angeles County Under the New Green Zone Ordinance

Green Zones

Green Zones are an entirely different way to look at zoning. It is an outgrowth of the Environmental Justice Movement that had its local origins addressing diesel exhaust at the Port Complex in San Pedro Bay. Properties are analyzed and graded based on their contribution to health disparities using the Environmental Justice Screening Method (EJSM). The EJSM is a new tool and strategy that is designed to correct unhealthy conditions by establishing new mitigation mechanisms. The County will use the EJSM for ongoing monitoring and annual reporting to the parcel level.

Depending on the EJSM score, Regional Planning offers four (4) different routes to approval. The simplest is Site Plan Review (SPR) and it is approved administratively in what we use to call, “over the counter”. The other three routes are discretionary and require formal application and Public Hearing at different levels of planning authority. Generally, the greater the health impact, the longer the approvals.
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